538 Forecast 2024. 538 forecast model relaunches for harris vs. From 75 days out — around when we relaunched our 2024 forecast — to election day, the expected change in margin is closer to 6 points.
Polling analyst nate silver says a new poll confirms a shift in momentum from. In recent months, political analysts and pundits have been closely following 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing democrat kamala harris’s and.